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Conviction is the new capital. Time to cash it.

A prediction market challenge built on certainty, not profit splits.

Trade live Polymarket events in a simulated account.
One rule, one target. Pass, get paid.

Trade live Polymarket events in a simulated account. One rule, one target. Pass, get paid.

Start the challenge
Live · PolymarketReal markets, real prices, simulated money.
Fd
Will the Fed cut rates at the June 2026 meeting?YES 64¢NO 36¢ 3¢$1.2M
Cv
Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?YES 28¢NO 72¢ 1¢$614K
Ar
Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?YES 43¢NO 57¢ 4¢$398K
Ms
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?YES 11¢NO 89¢ 1¢$335K
Re
US recession declared in 2026?YES 22¢NO 78¢ 1¢$1.8M
Kr
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?YES 36¢NO 64¢ 2¢$208K
Fd
Will the Fed cut rates at the June 2026 meeting?YES 64¢NO 36¢ 3¢$1.2M
Cv
Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?YES 28¢NO 72¢ 1¢$614K
Ar
Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?YES 43¢NO 57¢ 4¢$398K
Ms
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?YES 11¢NO 89¢ 1¢$335K
Re
US recession declared in 2026?YES 22¢NO 78¢ 1¢$1.8M
Kr
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?YES 36¢NO 64¢ 2¢$208K
How it works · 3 steps

Trade real events.
Pass the levels. Get paid.

Real Polymarket events. Fixed targets at each level. Predetermined payouts at the top. Nothing changes once you start.

01

Trade.

Trade live Polymarket events in a fully simulated account — same prices, same volatility, same skill as the real thing.

Up to 30 days
02

Pass.

Hit each level's qualifying-trade target within 30 days and stay above the trailing max loss on levels two through five.

5 levels · one rule
03

Get paid.

Earn fixed cash payouts at Levels 3, 4, and 5 — up to $1,000 on Starter, with no profit split and withdrawals anytime.

Levels 3 → 5
The Catalyst Challenge

One rule. One target. Zero surprises.

Trade real Polymarket events in a simulated account. Pass each level to earn payouts on Levels 3, 4, and 5. Withdraw anytime.

Create your challenge.

Max loss (trailing)
$500
$500$1,000$2,500$5,000
Total payout
$1,000
$1,000$2,500$5,000$7,500
Account size
$10,000
Starting balance
Max trade size
$1,000
Per market
Qualifying trade
≥$300
Realized profit per closed position
#LEVELMax loss
(trailing)
Qualifying trades
(30 days)
Payout
1Practice2
2Practice$5003
3Payout$5004$50
4Payout$5005$200
5Payout$5008$750
MEET CATALYST · 40 SEC

Conviction is the new capital.

Believe it. Trade it. Get paid.

PAYOUTS

$1,000

$1,000
in fixed payouts.

in fixed payouts.

No surprises.

Same payouts for every trader. Cash, not credit. Payouts deposit immediately after passing. Withdraw anytime.

The upgrade ladder
$10K
Now
$25K
Soon
$100K
Soon
THE NEW WAY TO TRADE PREDICTION MARKETS

Predict the future.

Crypto. Sports. Politics.

The Fed. The weather.



Crypto. Sports. Politics. The Fed. The weather.

If it can happen, it can be priced. And someone is going to get paid
for being right. Catalyst is how you become that someone.

Start the challenge

Built for traders who want the rules to hold and the payouts to land.

One rule · One target · Zero surprises

No Investment Advice or Brokerage Services.

Trade Catalyst Inc. is not a registered broker-dealer, investment adviser, commodity trading advisor, commodity pool operator, futures commission merchant, designated contract market, or exchange, and is not registered with any federal or state financial regulatory authority, including but not limited to the CFTC, SEC, NFA, or FINRA. Nothing on this website constitutes investment, trading, tax, or legal advice. All content is for educational and informational purposes only.

Simulated Trading Only.

All evaluations and trading activities on this platform are conducted in a simulated environment using virtual funds. No real securities or commodities are bought or sold. Simulated results do not guarantee future performance in live markets.

Skill-Based Evaluation.

The Catalyst Challenge is a skill-based trading evaluation. It is not a sweepstakes, lottery, contest, or gambling product.

Evaluation Fees.

Participation requires payment of an evaluation fee. Refunds are available within fourteen (14) days of purchase if no trades have been placed. Once any evaluation activity occurs, the fee is non-refundable.

Payouts.

Participants who meet evaluation criteria may be eligible to receive awards paid in U.S. dollars by Trade Catalyst Inc. Not all participants will pass an evaluation or receive an award. Award amounts, eligibility criteria, and evaluation rules described in the Terms of Use and Help Center and may be modified at any time.

Testimonials and Reviews.

Testimonials and reviews on this site reflect individual experiences and are not representative of all users. Individual results vary based on skill, market conditions, and other factors.

Third-Party Content.

This site may contain links to third-party websites or content. Trade Catalyst Inc. does not endorse, control, or guarantee the accuracy of any third-party content.

Limitation of Liability.

To the fullest extent permitted by law, Trade Catalyst Inc. and its affiliates disclaim liability for any losses or damages arising from use of this platform, reliance on site content, or participation in evaluations.

Eligibility.

Catalyst is not available in all jurisdictions. Eligibility restrictions apply. See Terms of Use for details.